S&P 500 falls 4% The S&P 500 was briefly down more than 4% as it touched 2855. That’s a level I’ve been highlighting today because it’s the October low. Technicals are critical in a market like this because the fear is overwhelming and the obvious spots are where everyone is managing risk. After hitting the
Month: February 2020
Here is the playbook for the week ahead [embedded content] While we still have clear this weekend’s China PMI data, and the South Carolina primary, the central focus next week will remain on the spread of the Coronavirus above all else as it has gripped the financial markets. We do also navigate through Super Tuesday,
200 day MA at 108.392 The USDJPY has tumbled lower and in the process has moved below the 200 day MA at 108.393 now. Earlier in the day, the price tumbled below its 100 day moving average at 109.23 area and an upward sloping trend line at 108.90. In addition to breaking the 200 day moving average, the
No flight to safety in gold The price of gold is tumbling and now down $67 (and moving) as I type. There is no safe haven bid into gold as investors may be using the recent upside gains to cover margin losses in overleveraged equities (perhaps?). Technically, the price has moved back below the swing hi from January at $1611.42.The 38.2% retracement of
Nasdaq back above 200 day MA The Nasdaq index fell below its 200 day moving average for the 1st time since June 2019. That moving average currently comes in at 8391.65. The low for the day move down to a 264.159. However we are now seeing a snapback rally and that has taken the price back above its 200 day
Overshoots are often AUD/USD hit a fresh 11-year low today, hitting 0.6434 but more important that the size of the move itself is the shape of the price action. AUD/USD imploded into the London fix in a 70 pip gap down where it was basically ‘no bid’ for a few minutes. Since then, it’s recovered
Cable under fresh pressure The pound tried to stage a rally after hitting 1.2760 in a wave of selling into the London fix but those lows have given way in a fresh round of selling down to 1.2727. There is no catalyst for the dump lower today. Consumer confidence numbers much earlier today were a
It’s a put on the dollar Fed cuts don’t matter for the stock market anymore. It’s a biological crisis, not an economic one. Rates at zero will be great when officials finally get on top of the virus and the tide turns, but they’re not a reason to buy right now. Instead, the rates trade
Dramatic move late The S&P 500 finished the day down just 24 points at 2954 in a big win for the bulls late in the day. The index gained more than 70 points in the final 15 minutes of trading in a huge bid, that was likely helped by month-end rebalancing. The huge rallies in
Futures finish 1.2% higher The rally that started in the final 15 minutes of trading continued into the after-hours and futures are up 1.2% on the day. That’s nearly +5% from the intraday low. There is some chatter about an emergency Fed rate cut after the statement from Powell but it’s tough to say if
Forex news for North American trade on Feb 28, 2020: Markets: Gold -$59 to $1585 WTI crude down $1.83 to $45.26 US 10 year yields down 11 bps to 1.15% S&P 500 down 24 points to 2954 JPY leads, NZD lags There are no easy answers in a tick-by-tick play-by-play at a time like this.
China’s economy was hit hard right from the Lunar New Year holiday and the weeks after from the coronavirus outbreak. deaths now number >3,000 in China Severe travel restrictions Severe actions on public health Business closures Manufacturing 35.7, this is the lowest ever recorded for this indicator. expected 45.0, prior 50.0 Non-manufacturing 29.6 … I
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